Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-16.7#351
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#324
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.3% 10.4% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 26.8% 40.7% 25.0%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.5% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.6% 11.9% 20.5%
First Four0.6% 1.6% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.10.0 - 0.1
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.50.0 - 0.6
Quad 20.0 - 1.90.0 - 2.5
Quad 30.2 - 5.40.3 - 7.9
Quad 46.4 - 12.46.7 - 20.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 290   @ East Carolina L 63-73 11%    
  Nov 10, 2018 114   @ Grand Canyon L 57-77 1%    
  Nov 13, 2018 300   @ Loyola Maryland L 63-72 13%    
  Nov 16, 2018 333   @ Longwood L 65-70 23%    
  Nov 24, 2018 191   @ Washington St. L 63-78 5%    
  Nov 27, 2018 125   Penn L 58-78 7%    
  Dec 01, 2018 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 59-79 2%    
  Dec 08, 2018 146   Jacksonville St. L 56-74 9%    
  Dec 19, 2018 239   @ Delaware L 60-72 9%    
  Dec 22, 2018 147   @ Weber St. L 59-77 4%    
  Dec 29, 2018 111   @ Ball St. L 60-80 3%    
  Jan 05, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 63-74 12%    
  Jan 07, 2019 345   Coppin St. L 64-66 52%    
  Jan 12, 2019 347   N.C. A&T L 68-70 54%    
  Jan 14, 2019 302   NC Central L 59-68 31%    
  Jan 19, 2019 299   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-80 16%    
  Jan 21, 2019 352   @ Florida A&M W 67-66 43%    
  Jan 26, 2019 305   @ Howard L 68-77 16%    
  Feb 02, 2019 353   Savannah St. W 80-79 64%    
  Feb 04, 2019 348   South Carolina St. L 70-71 57%    
  Feb 09, 2019 347   @ N.C. A&T L 68-70 34%    
  Feb 11, 2019 302   @ NC Central L 59-68 16%    
  Feb 23, 2019 341   Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-67 49%    
  Feb 25, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. L 64-66 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 339   Morgan St. L 66-70 46%    
  Mar 04, 2019 277   Norfolk St. L 63-74 26%    
  Mar 07, 2019 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-67 32%    
Projected Record 6.7 - 20.3 5.8 - 10.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.4 2.4 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.2 4.2 1.1 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.3 2.2 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.4 3.5 0.5 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 5.6 4.3 0.6 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 6.1 5.1 1.0 0.0 14.2 10th
11th 0.4 2.2 5.3 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.4 11th
12th 1.2 3.3 4.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 12.1 12th
Total 1.2 3.7 6.5 9.7 12.9 13.9 13.3 11.9 9.7 6.8 4.8 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 91.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 57.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 32.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 64.2% 64.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 31.6% 31.6% 16.0 0.1 0.1
13-3 0.6% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.1 0.5
12-4 1.9% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.2 1.7
11-5 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.8
10-6 4.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.7
9-7 6.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.3 0.0 6.7
8-8 9.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.7
7-9 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-10 13.3% 13.3
5-11 13.9% 13.9
4-12 12.9% 12.9
3-13 9.7% 9.7
2-14 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.5
1-15 3.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.7
0-16 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9% 1.7% 16.0 1.7